Duke and Kansas

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Duke and Kansas go to the final four in the NCAA tournament fairly often. Set up a Markov Process for Duke and Kansas using probabilities based on their previous experiences. I’m drawing a blank on how to set this up. I assume the initial state matrix would be either team advances to the final four or does not. A and A’. I also assume that starts out at 50% each but could be wrong. I’m not sure the best way to set up the transition matrix.

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